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MMARW / INTELLIGENCE / FINANCE

Finance, companies, and markets

Sourced analysis of companies, markets, business models, investment cases, and financial decisions. For informational purposes only—not financial advice.

Finance · Oct 14, 2026 · 21 min read

Commercial Due Diligence on a Fire-Inspection Software Vendor: What a Buyer Should Believe Before Bidding

A buyer's commercial due diligence on a hypothetical fire-inspection SaaS vendor: market, competition, retention, unit economics, scenarios and open questions.

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Finance · Oct 9, 2026 · 10 min read

Levi's Got Its Tariff Money Back. How Finance Teams Can Claim, Book and Disclose Theirs

Levi's booked about $84m in IEEPA tariff refunds. How finance teams can claim refunds through CBP's CAPE process, book them correctly and disclose them.

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Finance · Oct 9, 2026 · 11 min read

The 10-Year Treasury Is Above 5%. Time to Reset the Hurdle Rate on Your AI Projects

With the 10-year Treasury above 5%, AI projects approved on 2025 hurdle rates need re-ranking. A tiered approach for CFOs, with triggers to revisit.

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Finance · Oct 9, 2026 · 10 min read

Samsung's $80 Billion Quarter Is a Warning on AI Compute Costs for 2027

Samsung's record memory profit signals higher AI compute costs in 2027. How to choose what to lock, reserve or float in cloud, server and API contracts.

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Finance · Oct 6, 2026 · 5 min read

Fed Rate Path in Q4 2026: A Refinancing Decision File for CFOs

Q4 2026 refinancing choices for CFOs: how to read the Fed path, when locking beats waiting, and what belongs in the evidence pack before you commit.

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Finance · Oct 6, 2026 · 5 min read

OPEC+ and Oil in Q4 2026: What Buyers Should Lock In Before Winter

Winter fuel planning into Q4 2026: read OPEC+ policy and inventory signals as buyer triggers — lock vs float rules, not a price tip.

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Finance · Oct 6, 2026 · 5 min read

Q3 2026 Bank Earnings: What JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley Will Tell You About Deal Flow

Q3 bank earnings show where IB work produced revenue and what management may signal about pipelines. Use them to decide whether to accelerate, prepare, or wait — then verify figures on release.

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Finance · Sep 30, 2026 · 8 min read

Hims 2026: Reading the Growth Story Without the Marketing Slide

Revenue growth is not a decision file. This memo frame shows how to read Hims (and similar DTC telehealth stories) without swallowing the marketing slide: unit-economics tells, cohort vs vanity metrics, regulatory/advertising risk, and evidence vs narrative.

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Finance · Sep 25, 2026 · 6 min read

Strategy Digital Credit Explained: STRF, STRC, STRE, STRK, STRD

Strategy’s Digital Credit franchise is a stack of perpetual preferreds (STRF, STRC, STRE, STRK, STRD) that fund the bitcoin treasury. Here is the map: seniority, dividends, convertibility, the June 2026 capital framework, and the coverage numbers to monitor.

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Finance · Sep 25, 2026 · 3 min read

How to Stress-Test a Valuation Before You Recommend

A single-point valuation is unfinished work. Stress-test before you recommend: named scenario drivers, the 3–5 sensitivities that move the answer, explicit kill criteria, and an as-of date in the decision file.

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Finance · Sep 21, 2026 · 7 min read

Equity Perps vs CFDs vs Leveraged Stock: What Actually Changes

Equity perps, CFDs, and leveraged stock all aim at the same Tesla-sized exposure — but funding rates, gap risk, and ownership change the risk profile. A side-by-side decision frame for tactical vs structural use.

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Finance · Sep 19, 2026 · 20 min read

Oil Markets in 2026: Prices, Inflation, and Capital Allocation

Mid-2026 oil markets show a gap between spot Brent near $104–105 and EIA annual averages near $91. Inventory draws, Middle East export constraints, and diesel stress shape US and European outcomes into 2027.

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